ObsessoMom wrote:What I choose to conclude is that there's a huge percentage of voters who don't like what either major party is selling enough to join the Fan Club, but who might be persuaded to support the right candidate, based on factors that can't be assumed from the data. (That conclusion might indeed be bullshit. But that's not what I initially said--I just presented the data as significant.)
I know the plural of anecdote isn't data.
But I know far too many people who are registered Democrat as their dad was Democrat and their grandpappy Democrat and so on so by damn they're a Democrat....
And they haven't voted for a Democratic Party member since the 70s. (Though, spoiler, I am kinda sorta in The South, where the Democratic Party was publicly a very different animal prior to the 1960s. How much they actually changed is outside of the scope of this comment)
Also, keep in mind that you're dealing with a country where 3% of people consider themselves Atheists (while 8% of them believe in God or some sort of universal spirit) while 9% of Americans do not believe in the existence of God or a universal spirit.
So 6% of Americans and 8% of 3% either are that profoundly ignorant on the definition of a single word or, more likely, are so hung up on a family identifier that they fail to acknowledge when it no longer applies.
So I don't put a whole lot of stock in registration numbers. I put my stock in what people voted for in the last 8 years of local, State, and National elections.