Search found 429 matches

by Arariel
Thu Jan 09, 2014 9:58 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Tax percentage calculations
Replies: 32
Views: 9833

Re: Tax percentage calculations

Government spending compared to GDP has been relatively constant for the past 40 years. The reason that your taxes are going up as because you're seeing a larger portion of the tax burden being shifted from corporate and higher-income taxes onto the middle class. There is quite a bit I want to rebu...
by Arariel
Thu Jan 09, 2014 10:22 am UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Encode a message so it can't be read until a certain time?
Replies: 84
Views: 47156

Re: Encode a message so it can't be read until a certain tim

So I've been thinking about this problem for a while, and here's my preliminary best try: If you encrypt the message with a weak key, it should be vulnerable to a brute force attack. You can do this in a way such that the expected value of the time taken will occur at whatever time it needs to be re...
by Arariel
Thu Jan 09, 2014 8:51 am UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Tax percentage calculations
Replies: 32
Views: 9833

Re: Tax percentage calculations

For income tax, per cent of amount paid is slightly easier to calculate; it makes no difference in the case of a sales tax, since it's already calculated at sale, and the seller would be keeping records of how much is owed in taxes presumably. It's a minor inconsistency in which our money gets taken...
by Arariel
Thu Jan 09, 2014 4:02 am UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Tax percentage calculations
Replies: 32
Views: 9833

Re: Tax percentage calculations

Is there a point? Same amount gets stolen taken either way, consumer pays the same price, producer receives the same revenue, same deadweight loss results, etc.
by Arariel
Thu Jan 09, 2014 3:51 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: ACA in Kentucky
Replies: 42
Views: 8113

Re: ACA in Kentucky

The people not on medicaid are by definition wealthier than those that are. As wealth correlates very heavily with health, it's hard to form a baseline to compare medicaid to. Of the uninsured, many are voluntarily uninsured; young healthy males that don't want to pay far more than their insurance ...
by Arariel
Thu Jan 09, 2014 12:32 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: ACA in Kentucky
Replies: 42
Views: 8113

Re: ACA in Kentucky

Don't people on Medicaid tend to be unhealthier than the general population? It could be that they are just unhealthier. The studies compared patients treated for the same or similar issues, such as hospitalisation for major surgery, lung transplants, and colon cancer, and in each of these cases th...
by Arariel
Wed Jan 08, 2014 11:56 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: ACA in Kentucky
Replies: 42
Views: 8113

Re: ACA in Kentucky

Don't people on Medicaid tend to be unhealthier than the general population? It could be that they are just unhealthier. The studies compared patients treated for the same or similar issues, such as hospitalisation for major surgery, lung transplants, and colon cancer, and in each of these cases th...
by Arariel
Wed Jan 08, 2014 5:34 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: ACA in Kentucky
Replies: 42
Views: 8113

Re: ACA in Kenucky

The hard part is making sure government does it better than private markets In almost all cases, insurance that exists is better than insurance that does not exist. If the private markets weren't covering these folks, and the government is, then by definition they're doing it better than the privat...
by Arariel
Wed Jan 08, 2014 4:44 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Janet Yellen confirmed as the new QEeen
Replies: 22
Views: 4503

Janet Yellen confirmed as the new QEeen

The Senate has voted to approve the nomination of Janet Yellen as the next leader of the U.S. Federal Reserve. With Monday's vote, Yellen, 67, will become the first woman to serve as America's banking chief, heading an institution that was established in 1913. ... The final tally confirming Yellen'...
by Arariel
Thu Dec 12, 2013 1:37 am UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Bitcoin : Where can it fail ?
Replies: 326
Views: 162785

Re: Bitcoin : Where can it fail ?

So you just disproved your own point. Soros can not crash the pound. The pound crashed because it was horrifically, artifically inflated. Soros realized this and made money of the inevitable crash. You lack causation. When Soros shorted the US housing market, he didn't cause the housing market to c...
by Arariel
Wed Dec 11, 2013 4:19 am UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Bitcoin : Where can it fail ?
Replies: 326
Views: 162785

Re: Bitcoin : Where can it fail ?

Except that didn't happen. This is Serious Business. Soros purchased $6.5 Billion over the course of several months Wrong. Soros's fund purchased $10 billion. He short sold 6.5 billion pounds. in a market that trades $6billion + daily. Present current trading volume is somewhat over 6 billion pound...
by Arariel
Thu Dec 05, 2013 10:59 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Bitcoin : Where can it fail ?
Replies: 326
Views: 162785

Re: Bitcoin : Where can it fail ?

I'm pretty neutral on bubblecoins (unfortunately someone beat me to that name by 10 days....), they might be useful once they stablise. At the moment my suspicion is that people holding bitcoins are effecting holding junk bonds. Network effects are a thing, sure...but Bitcoin is still primarily hel...
by Arariel
Wed Dec 04, 2013 10:23 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Bitcoin : Where can it fail ?
Replies: 326
Views: 162785

Re: Bitcoin : Where can it fail ?

So, why choose Bitcoin, and not a different network that is essentially identical to Bitcoin? I don't see a particularly unique reason to use that network vs any other. And joining a newer network using an identical system will mean I'll get in earlier. From a speculative standpoint, that seems pre...
by Arariel
Wed Dec 04, 2013 8:26 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Bitcoin : Where can it fail ?
Replies: 326
Views: 162785

Re: Bitcoin : Where can it fail ?

The United States has a vested interest in maintaining the value and integrity in its currency. There is NO situation where a citizen can crash the market for dollars while enriching themselves. The same can not be said for Bitcoins, which like commodities are subject to market manipulations partic...
by Arariel
Tue Oct 01, 2013 5:58 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Debt Ceiling Round 3? 4?
Replies: 340
Views: 32030

Re: Debt Ceiling Round 3? 4?

All I can say is... (Spoiler: epileptic warning)
Spoiler:
Image


I looked outside and all the roads were gone and everyone was speaking Somali.
by Arariel
Sun Aug 25, 2013 5:05 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: End Government Funding of Science?
Replies: 187
Views: 28478

Re: End Government Funding of Science?

Do you honestly believe most consumers would buy a drug that hasn't been tested? And for those who would, why should anyone prevent two parties from making what they see as a mutually beneficial exchange? Yes, there's risk, but the consumer would evidently feel the risk is justified if they were to...
by Arariel
Sun Aug 25, 2013 3:52 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: End Government Funding of Science?
Replies: 187
Views: 28478

Re: End Government Funding of Science?

By licensing I meant things like the clinical trials required to make sure that it works and is safe to use. Not fees paid to x government agency to be put on the market. Patent law allows drugs to be able to recoup their development costs. If replicating the drug requires 60-70% of the cost and ti...
by Arariel
Sun Aug 18, 2013 8:47 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: End Government Funding of Science?
Replies: 187
Views: 28478

Re: End Government Funding of Science?

Do you have any idea how much money goes into creating and licensing a new drug? Smaller companies can go under overnight if they have poor results with a trial. Costs of creating a new drug have absolutely nothing to do with patent law. Licensing them is more government regulation, a government-cr...
by Arariel
Sun Aug 18, 2013 9:24 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: End Government Funding of Science?
Replies: 187
Views: 28478

Re: End Government Funding of Science?

Cigarettes and health-coverage are not actually competing goods. See the conversation re: Zamfir/Heisenberg (cigarettes actually may potentially reduce health costs!). Even barring that (presume they did increase health costs), they're still not competing goods; your explanation here is just a wish...
by Arariel
Tue Aug 13, 2013 9:04 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: End Government Funding of Science?
Replies: 187
Views: 28478

Re: End Government Funding of Science?

There would have been legal barriers to use of that drug because the drug was currently under patent for another use entirely. So this barrier is created by the government, then? Who'd've known. Yes, some drugs are found with other research but it's neither common (there are many, many drugs out th...
by Arariel
Fri Aug 09, 2013 9:02 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: End Government Funding of Science?
Replies: 187
Views: 28478

Re: End Government Funding of Science?

Maybe, but A) out wouldn't be used for this purpose without massive input from the public sector which it's what this thread is debating getting rid of; and B) it's actually a lot more effective to be researching your actual disease rather than just doing other stuff and hoping someone notices it w...
by Arariel
Wed Aug 07, 2013 9:36 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: End Government Funding of Science?
Replies: 187
Views: 28478

Re: End Government Funding of Science?

At any rate, eflornithine is used to treat African sleeping sickness, and that was developed during cancer research, so there's no reason to believe treatments for other diseases couldn't be discovered that way. You mean the drug that the public sector had to fight tooth and nail to get the company...
by Arariel
Wed Aug 07, 2013 9:12 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: End Government Funding of Science?
Replies: 187
Views: 28478

Re: End Government Funding of Science?

Yes and no. The current sorry state of the US medical research is almost entirely due to the fact that it is entirely private. When Big Tobacco funds medical research, then the majority of studies will "prove" that tobacco is fine for you. When Insurance Companies fund research, the major...
by Arariel
Wed Aug 07, 2013 3:21 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: End Government Funding of Science?
Replies: 187
Views: 28478

End Government Funding of Science?

So the Cato Institute just published this article, ' The Case against Public Science ', which gives several reasons why science should be left to the private sector. Among the highlights: ⋅ The increase in government funding of science since the beginning of the Cold War has had no effect ...
by Arariel
Wed Jun 05, 2013 6:14 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: IRS Discrimination, AP logs, and Benghazi
Replies: 131
Views: 14624

Re: IRS Discrimination, AP logs, and Benghazi

Oh, I'm sorry that my belief in freedom offends your fascist sensibilities.
by Arariel
Wed Jun 05, 2013 5:43 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: IRS Discrimination, AP logs, and Benghazi
Replies: 131
Views: 14624

Re: IRS Discrimination, AP logs, and Benghazi

TheGrammarBolshevik wrote:...

Never mind. Forgot who I was arguing with.

Someone who believes in science, reason, and logic rather than received wisdom and authority?
by Arariel
Wed Jun 05, 2013 5:20 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: IRS Discrimination, AP logs, and Benghazi
Replies: 131
Views: 14624

Re: IRS Discrimination, AP logs, and Benghazi

Yes, I did. If Rosen were a foreign national, this would be a textbook case of espionage. As is, if the divulgence of classified information is illegal, I have a hard time seeing how it doesn't qualify as conspiracy to commit. Mind you, I'm probably in the minority here in that I'd be perfectly hap...
by Arariel
Wed Jun 05, 2013 4:11 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: IRS Discrimination, AP logs, and Benghazi
Replies: 131
Views: 14624

Re: IRS Discrimination, AP logs, and Benghazi

Let me get this straight: If I say that someone who solicits and assists with a defense leak has conspired in that defense leak in the same way that someone who solicits and assists with a bank robbery has conspired in that bank robbery, I am drawing an unreasonable analogy... ...but we're good to ...
by Arariel
Wed Jun 05, 2013 3:34 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: IRS Discrimination, AP logs, and Benghazi
Replies: 131
Views: 14624

Re: IRS Discrimination, AP logs, and Benghazi

Whatever "you'd say" about morality, the question considered in the affidavit is whether Rosen broke the law. The relevant source for that is 18 USC 793, not your feelings about morality. And, no, that has nothing to do with whether robbery and defense leaks are "on the same level,&q...
by Arariel
Wed Jun 05, 2013 3:18 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: IRS Discrimination, AP logs, and Benghazi
Replies: 131
Views: 14624

Re: IRS Discrimination, AP logs, and Benghazi

Did you read the affidavit? If accurate, he did rather more than merely "asking someone for information". 39. I conclude from the foregoing that there is probable cause to believe that: (a). From the beginning of their relationship, the Reporter asked, solicited and encouraged Mr. Kim to ...
by Arariel
Tue Jun 04, 2013 11:43 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: IRS Discrimination, AP logs, and Benghazi
Replies: 131
Views: 14624

Re: IRS Discrimination, AP logs, and Benghazi

First Amendment Rights are trumped by the safety of agents in the field. When speaking words can kill people, you better be damn responsible in what you say. Its utterly ridiculous that you're willing to risk the life of a non-American ally so that we can enjoy first Amendment rights a little bit m...
by Arariel
Tue Jun 04, 2013 3:12 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: IRS Discrimination, AP logs, and Benghazi
Replies: 131
Views: 14624

Re: IRS Discrimination, AP logs, and Benghazi

Seeing this, the FBI's gag order on Google, the drones, Libya, the never-attempted closure of Gitmo, NDAA, re-signing the Patriot Act, etc., etc., and those among the American Left defending each of these, one has to wonder when exactly did the anti-war, anti-surveillance, pro-civil liberties leftis...
by Arariel
Fri Apr 05, 2013 8:36 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Wiley sues student for infringing copyright on resold book
Replies: 489
Views: 33195

Re: Wiley sues student for infringing copyright on resold bo

As typical of this sort of thing, you argue that there is no such thing as IP because it is a privilege provided by government. As if privileges provided by government do not exist! Government privileges exist. So did segregation. That no more means the existence of 'intellectual property' than it ...
by Arariel
Sun Mar 24, 2013 4:53 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Wiley sues student for infringing copyright on resold book
Replies: 489
Views: 33195

Re: Wiley sues student for infringing copyright on resold bo

I wrote quite a bit, got deleted, so I'll be much briefer than I was in what was deleted since I'd hate to waste more time discussing the obvious with someone like J Thomas. I'm not going to reply to each individual post regarding the case, but I'll address what's wrong with their arguments: There's...
by Arariel
Fri Mar 22, 2013 7:30 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Wiley sues student for infringing copyright on resold book
Replies: 489
Views: 33195

Re: Wiley sues student for infringing copyright on resold bo

Wiley brought this case forward in a government court . If Kirtsaeng had lost, payment of damages would have been enforced by the government . Without a powerful government, Kirtsaeng would have had nothing to fear. Real life is interesting enough. I'm not interested in speaking about a hypothetica...
by Arariel
Fri Mar 22, 2013 6:59 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Wiley sues student for infringing copyright on resold book
Replies: 489
Views: 33195

Re: Wiley sues student for infringing copyright on resold bo

Yeah, it's not like we rely on the Government to say... uphold slavery, preserve segregation, and deny women the vote... or for something that is directly related to this thread... prevent people from selling books how they would like to. Do you deny the ability for a private entity to make a case ...
by Arariel
Fri Mar 22, 2013 6:43 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Wiley sues student for infringing copyright on resold book
Replies: 489
Views: 33195

Re: Wiley sues student for infringing copyright on resold bo

Left to its own devices, neither does government. Good thing there's no, like, legislation or judicial rulings or anything we could present to argue that. Good thing there's not, like, 3% of Americans under 'correctional supervision' or anything. I cannot imagine any conceivable possibility in whic...
by Arariel
Fri Mar 22, 2013 5:46 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Wiley sues student for infringing copyright on resold book
Replies: 489
Views: 33195

Re: Wiley sues student for infringing copyright on resold bo

The Mighty Thesaurus wrote:
Arariel wrote:I cannot imagine any conceivable possibility in which more government is the solution.

How about violation of basic human rights? When left to its own devices, the private sector doesn't exactly have a stellar track record in this department

Left to its own devices, neither does government.
by Arariel
Fri Mar 22, 2013 3:11 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Wiley sues student for infringing copyright on resold book
Replies: 489
Views: 33195

Re: Wiley sues student for infringing copyright on resold bo

I cannot imagine any conceivable possibility in which more government is the solution. You want the government to let the corporations rent seek? And really, more profits != better for everyone. For example, in a competitive market, if price is higher than the average total cost, economic profit is ...

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